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1 October 2004 TAPERING BIAS INHERENT IN MINIMUM NUMBER ALIVE (MNA) POPULATION INDICES
Michael J. O. Pocock, Alain C. Frantz, David P. Cowan, Piran C. L. White, Jeremy B. Searle
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Abstract

Minimum number alive (MNA) is commonly used to assess population size with capture-mark-recapture data. However, MNA uses information from prior and subsequent capture sessions to assess the population at each point in a longitudinal study. Therefore, it is subject to negative bias that is greatest at the beginning and end of the study and least in the middle. Stochastic simulations performed with constant population size and capture rate showed that MNA peaked at the middle of the study. The tapering bias was greatest when survival rate between capture sessions was high. If indices (rather than statistical estimators) are used to assess population size, then the number of individuals captured should be chosen in preference to MNA.

Michael J. O. Pocock, Alain C. Frantz, David P. Cowan, Piran C. L. White, and Jeremy B. Searle "TAPERING BIAS INHERENT IN MINIMUM NUMBER ALIVE (MNA) POPULATION INDICES," Journal of Mammalogy 85(5), 959-962, (1 October 2004). https://doi.org/10.1644/BPR-023
Accepted: 1 December 2003; Published: 1 October 2004
KEYWORDS
capture-recapture
CMR
estimate
population size
small mammal
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